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Long-form

[Essay] Business leaders for 2026

November 9, 2025
3 minutes
Tomas Sobek / Unsplash.com

 

Here is my subjective take on the people I consider the most inspiring from the business environment. They don’t line up like a textbook leadership panel. One launches rockets from Twitter threads. One treats a global bank like a carefully tuned risk reactor. One walks into defense briefings quoting philosophy. One fires off ideas at a rate most people reserve for notifications. They’re lopsided, controversial, and frequently wrong in public, but they’re obsessed with the right questions: Which problems actually matter? Which systems are about to break? Where can you push so hard that an entire industry has to move?

This small take is about four of those people: Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon, Alex Karp, and Marc Andreessen. An engineer who uses companies as tools to hack at civilizational bottlenecks. A banker who designs management as a risk architecture that doesn’t blow up. A philosopher-CEO who treats software and LLMs as an instrument of state power. And an investor-writer whose true product is the mental models everyone else eventually borrows. They don’t fit the old template of “leader”, but I guess that’s the point.

Elon Musk –> solving complex problems

Elon treats companies like instruments to hack at civilizational bottlenecks: energy, transport, space, and compute. What makes him interesting is his ability to stack disciplines. He’ll mix first-principles physics, manufacturing details, finance, and memes into a single decision. He’s comfortable operating where the variance is huge and the downside is public humiliation, but the upside is “rewrite the industry”. You can criticize the chaos, but you can’t deny the problem selection. He repeatedly aims at things most smart people have written off as impossible, then iterates until reality moves. The economist Noah Smith says that Elon can solve the most important 20 problems (bottlenecks), and the closest to him are other business leaders (like Jeff Bezos, who can solve only 15-16 problems). Unfortunately, we have only one Elon.

Jamie Dimon –> management as “fortress balance sheet” strategy

Dimon is less “visionary founder” and more chief risk officer of the Western financial system. His edge is management as architecture: incentives, culture, and balance sheet all aligned around not blowing up. He’s conservative where it matters (capital, liquidity, credit standards) and aggressive where it pays (talent, tech, M&A). What you get is a bank that can survive crises, buy competitors on sale, and still feel boring from the inside. That’s his superpower: turning a massively levered, fragile business into something that looks almost utility-like, while compounding value for decades. Watch his leadership lessons to understand what’s all about.

Alex Karp –> vision + clarity in the grey zone

Karp operates in the uncomfortable space where data, security, and geopolitics intersect. His “vision and clarity” come from being willing to say out loud things most CEOs only think in private: that Western governments need better tools, that values matter in who you sell to, and that software is now part of national power. Palantir’s whole thesis is that data integration is a strategy, not IT. Karp’s style is weird on purpose, philosophy PhD energy in a defense-tech boardroom, but that’s exactly what lets him bridge intelligence agencies, militaries, and Silicon Valley in a way almost nobody else can. Reading his letters, I always find insiration and purpose.

Marc Andreessen –> bandwidth of ideas

Andreessen’s advantage is raw intellectual throughput. He’s read everything, remembers most of it, and synthesizes it into narratives about where technology and society are going. The important part isn’t that he’s always right (he isn’t), but that he can map how a technology becomes an industry and then an institution. As an investor, that translates into pattern recognition for platforms and inflection points. As a writer, into big theses like “software is eating the world” or the recent pro-building manifestos. If Musk builds the rockets, Andreessen writes the mental operating system that makes rockets seem inevitable.